The Proto Criteria

The Primary Geographical Distribution of COVID-19

The Source for Flu numbers is https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/

Last Updated 04/24/2020 @ 7:30 am MT

“Ooops, did I do that?”

The Coronavirus Death Rate Revisited #2

I have some seemingly Good News.  It’s a small study, but it might make you feel better.

I’ve been diligently collecting data from these two websites.  I don’t need much, just some total case and death figures:

• worldometers.info/coronavirus/
• cdc.gov

On April 7^th, 2020, I published my first article entitled “The True Coronavirus Death Rate – A Horrifying Prospect”.  I had concluded, from the data I had been observing, that the Coronavirus Death Rate would end around 20%.

This is a link to the first report on April 7th:

https://protocriteria.com/index.php/2020/04/08/true-coronavirus-death-rate-a-horrifying-prospect/

About a week later, I realized the above two websites were treating the Coronavirus more like Cancer than a virus – they were not closing any cases, which made it look like a person contracts the virus and never gets better.  Well, to be fair, the CDC hasn’t been publishing the number of closed cases anyway, and Worldometers.info has been using alternative sources.  Some U.S. States are publishing closed case numbers and some are not.  This means the Closed Case number is always LOWER than what it really is.  If the closed case number is low, the death rate is automatically higher.  So I figured out a way to calculate a closed case number and I published a revision.

This is a link to the second report on April 13^th explaining what I did:

https://protocriteria.com/index.php/2020/04/13/coronavirus-death-rate-revisited/

At the end of this particular article I made a prediction, I said,

“IF I’m right about the 14 day Average Case time and the 15% CFR holds, THEN in 14 Days (04/27/2020), the Total Number of Deaths should equal about 86,403.

I hope I’m wrong. I hope it’s lower, much lower.”

Well, I would now like to revise my prediction.

I’ll let the numbers speak for themselves.  This is all data straight from the CDC.

On the 15^th or the 16^th, just as the New Closed Cases (not shown) was about to surpass the New Cases, the CDC modified their data.  They started to publish the following disclaimer:

This page is updated daily based on data confirmed at 4:00pm ET the day before. Numbers reported on Saturdays and Sundays are preliminary and not yet confirmed by state and territorial health departments. These numbers will be modified when numbers are updated on Mondays.

CDC does not know the exact number of COVID-19 illnesses, hospitalizations, and deaths for a variety of reasons. COVID-19 can cause mild illness, symptoms might not appear immediately, there are delays in reporting and testing, not everyone who is infected gets tested or seeks medical care, and there may be differences in how states and territories confirm numbers in their jurisdictions.

They also started to include, in their numbers, “probable” cases and “probable” deaths.

Here’s the reason they gave for doing so;

“As of April 14, 2020, CDC case counts and death counts include both confirmed and probable cases and deaths. This change was made to reflect an interim COVID-19 position statementpdf iconexternal icon issued by the Council for State and Territorial Epidemiologists on April 5, 2020. The position statement included a case definition and made COVID-19 a nationally notifiable disease.

 A confirmed case or death is defined by meeting confirmatory laboratory evidence for COVID-19. A probable case or death is defined by i) meeting clinical criteria AND epidemiologic evidence with no confirmatory laboratory testing performed for COVID-19; or ii) meeting presumptive laboratory evidence AND either clinical criteria OR epidemiologic evidence; or iii) meeting vital records criteria with no confirmatory laboratory testing performed for COVID19.”

Well, I want to stay as official as possible, so I only accept “confirmed” cases and “confirmed” deaths.  I have been excluding these “probable” numbers from my study.

This is why Their Total Case Number = 802,583 and mine = 798,602, and their Total Deaths = 44,575 and mine = 38,713.

Their Total cases include 3,981 probable cases and their total deaths include 5,862 probable deaths.  As long as they let me separate the “probable” from the “confirmed”, I will.

Anyway, as you can see, the CFR has fallen drastically.  It’s no longer hovering around 30% or 15%, it’s dropped all the way down to 9%.  I think that’s Good News.

Even more good news is the possibility that the CFR is even lower than that.  If there are a lot more asymptomatic cases out there than we previously believed, that means both the total number of cases and closed cases would go up, and the CFR would be even lower.

I can now say with confidence, that there’s no way the Total Number of Deaths is going to reach 86,403 by April 27.

The Geographical Distribution of COVID-19

The Source for Flu numbers is https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/

Last Updated 04/22/2020 @ 7:00 am MT

“I shall have my revenge someday / And dye red with blood the Xunyang’s flow.”

The Unusual Distribution of COVID-19 Update #4

For the past couple of days, I have been updating something I call the Unusual Distribution of COVID-19.  I’ve noticed that a lot of people don’t understand what I’m trying to say, it’s gone right over their heads.

Some people think I’m trying to imply that the Coronavirus is primarily affecting people of a certain race or ethnicity.  Maybe they even think I’m implying that the virus has been “engineered” to specifically attack people of European descent.  I suppose that’s my fault for the terminology I chose to use.

Well, I’m going to stop “beating-around-the-bush”, as they say, and flat out state what I really mean.

Instead of dividing the world between Caucasians and the Rest of the World, I’m going to divide the World into the Countries that China wants to destroy first, and the Countries that China wants to destroy second.  The First Tier Enemies of China and the Second Tier Enemies of China.

Here are the First Tier Countries China (the CCP) absolutely hates and wants to destroy first:

1. The United States
2. The United Kingdom (and Allies)
3. The European Union

Therefore, these are the places you would expect to see the most number of Coronavirus cases.

Let’s check the numbers:

Oh Wow, look at that!  What a surprise.

But to be fair, let’s see how China’s allies are doing.

The Source for all numbers is https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/

Last Updated 04/19/2020 @ 1:34 pm MT

Oh gosh, who could’ve seen that coming?

It is imperative that the CCP destroy the economies of its First Tier Enemies if it is to have any hope of achieving World Domination.

Communist China is executing a Biological Terrorist Attack against the United States, the United Kingdom, and the European Union.  The NUMBERS DON”T LIE!

It’s right in front of your face, but a lot of people don’t see it because they can’t see the forest through the trees.  Some people don’t want to see it because of the horrible consequences that might have to follow, they would rather keep their heads in the sand.

Somebody, will say, “How can you say this, what evidence do you have?”

The evidence I have is THE NUMBERS!  You* stupid blind idiots!  And that’s the only evidence there would be.  This is the time for Occam’s Razor – in this case the simplest explanation is the correct one.  This is a Bio-Terrorist Attack perpetrated by a very Sophisticated and Nuanced Super-Power.

If you knew anything at all about the Chinese Communist Party you’d know for a fact that this is how they roll.  They are experts in Subterfuge and Psychological Manipulation; it’s an Art Form to them.

Consider the writings of Robert J. Lifton – read his book, “Thought Reform and the Psychology of Totalism”, written way back in 1961.  You think these techniques died with Mao Zedong?  No, they’ve been perfected.

They don’t attack you with Tanks and Planes and Missiles, they hit you with Psychological Warfare.

What if sleeper agents deliberately infected the citizens of New York City? What if they sprayed the Virus into the air over the streets of Manhattan, from the rooftops of skyscrapers, and let it rain down on the people unawares?  What if they laced the handrails of the stairs leading down to the Subway? Do you think you could’ve have done anything about it?  Do you think you could find them?  These aren’t obvious Islamic Terrorists on suicide missions, they’re not stupid mind-numbed cult members, they’re highly trained and highly skilled covert operatives and they’re probably not even Chinese.  You couldn’t find them even if you were looking for them, they’re not going be suspicious in any way.  You need to think more along the lines of James Bond villain types.  These are people who are far beyond anything your local police department could ever deal with.

While all of you are distracted by arguing about whether or not Trump acted fast enough, the effectiveness of hydroxychloroquine, and the shortcomings of the data, the ChiComs are destroying your world.

Oh, there is a virus, there is a pandemic, it truly is all over the world, and that’s the Beauty of the Plan.  There’s lots of collateral damage, but the CCP doesn’t care.   All that matters to them is that the economies of the United States, the United Kingdom (and her allies), and the European Union collapse – that’s their only objective, and they’re succeeding.

With this in mind, don’t be TERRORIZED PARALYZED!  Don’t be defeated by a FLU!  In the end, COVID-19 is still just a FLU, it is not an Angel of Certain Death, it is not a Bullet to the Brain, it is not a Nuclear Bomb.  If you’re infected, the odds are overwhelmingly in your favor, you’ll feel really miserable for a couple of weeks, but the chances are definitely that you won’t die.  The Paralyzing Fear is the Uncertainty – that’s what TERRORISM is all about.  PROPAGANDA.  The News Media can’t help itself.

The way you fight something like this is not with Lockdowns.  It is not by hiding away. Get on with your life.  Face the Fear.  Wear a face-mask if you need some confidence.  Don’t let them win.

Postscript: To be used as a Biological weapon, this Virus doesn’t have to be engineered in a lab.  All that needs to be done is have samples of it collected and cultivated.  In fact, it is even more useful as a Biological Weapon if it wasn’t engineered in a lab because then it would appear to be totally natural and provide absolutely no definitive evidence that it was being used as a Biological Weapon; except for the Numbers.  Ambiguity is the Key to the Whole Plan.   

*Not “you” the reader. “You” the hypothetical person asking the question.

Additional Reading:

https://thehill.com/opinion/national-security/485921-the-coronavirus-blueprint-for-bioterrorism

https://www.usnews.com/news/politics/articles/2020-03-24/homeland-security-warns-that-terrorists-could-exploit-coronavirus-pandemic

The Unusual Distribution of COVID-19 Update

I’m still monitoring the worldwide Coronavirus statistics and the Distinct Geographical Distribution pattern continues.

The Numerical Evidence strongly indicates that the spread of the Coronavirus in Western Europe and the United States is being Deliberately and Maliciously Assisted.

The European Union, the United States, and the British Commonwealth, are definitely suffering a disproportionate share of the outbreak.  The Total number of Cases and Case Fatality Rates remain higher in the “Caucasian World” than they are anywhere else.  The numbers don’t lie.

Here is a more comprehensive view of the data:

For some reason, nearly 20,000 cases have vanished from France.  Maybe they have revised their numbers, but I have not been tracking them daily.

The CFR is skewed for the United Kingdom, the British Commonwealth, and Western Europe because the UK is no longer publishing closed cases.

Apparently, according to worldometers.info/coronavirus/, a case of COVID-19 lasts over 20 days in the US.  In other words, they never close any so the CFR never goes down.

Oh, but wait, there’s more!

We can add Eastern Europe to the mix:

And there you have it – the Coronavirus Outbreak is pretty much a 1st World European and European Heritage problem.  Now, all we have to do is figure out who hates Europeans.

The “Rest of the World” includes countries such as China, India, Indonesia, Pakistan, Japan, South Korea, all of Africa, and all of South and Central America.

Last Updated 04/18/2020 @ 4:36 am MT

The Source for all numbers is https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/

The Unusual Distribution of COVID-19 Update

I’m still monitoring the worldwide Coronavirus statistics and the Distinct Geographical Distribution pattern continues.

The Numerical Evidence strongly indicates that the spread of the Coronavirus in Western Europe and the United States is being Deliberately and Maliciously Assisted.

The European Union, the United States, and the British Commonwealth, are definitely suffering a disproportionate share of the outbreak.  The Total number of Cases and Case Fatality Rates remain higher in the “Caucasian World” than they are anywhere else.  The numbers don’t lie.

Source: www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ (04/15/2020)

*The Case Fatality Rate (CFR) is calculated by dividing the number of Deaths by the number of Closed Cases.  Closed Cases are those where the patient has either Recovered or Died.

**The Caucasian World equals the European Union, the United Kingdom, Australia, Canada, New Zealand, and the United States.  I call it the “Caucasian World” because that’s how we’re seen by the CCP.

14% of the World’s population has over 77% of the Coronavirus cases.

Bellwether Countries such as India, Indonesia, and Nigeria, are still not suffering any significant spread, even though they are among the most populous on Earth, and even though the virus has been confirmed to be lurking within their borders for basically the same amount of time.

Source: www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ (04/15/2020)

Nigeria is the most populated country in Africa with around 206 million people who live in overcrowded and unsanitary conditions.  The virus should cut through Nigeria like a hot knife through butter, but after 47 days there are still only 343 known cases.

Compare that with the United Kingdom.  The virus has been in the United Kingdom for the same 47 days, but there are 98,476 known cases, 12,868 dead, and a CFR of 98%*.

I find it difficult to believe that a “third world” country like Nigeria is better at controlling a Pandemic than a “first world power” like the United Kingdom.

Something is very, very, wrong.

Likewise, India is in the 76th day of its Coronavirus outbreak and it only has 12,332 confirmed cases and 405 deaths.  On the 76th day of the United States’ outbreak there were 122,653 confirmed cases and 2,112 deaths.  India has 1.4 billion people and the United States has 329 million.  Why would the second most populated country on Earth have such a low percentage of infection?

Footnote:

*The CFR for the United Kingdom is probably far less than 98%, but it has been tracking in the 90s.  The United Kingdom has not published an updated “Closed Cases” number for the past few days, but if you divide the Total Number of Deaths by the Total Number of Cases you get at least a 13% Death Rate straight up.

The Coronavirus Death Rate Revisited

On April 7^th, 2020, I published an article entitled “The True Coronavirus Death Rate – A Horrifying Prospect”.  I had concluded, from the data I had been observing, that the Coronavirus Death Rate would end around 20%.

I am using data from 2 sources:

• worldometers.info/coronavirus/
• cdc.gov

The CDC publishes data every day updating the Total Number of Cases and the Total Number of Deaths. By entering this data into an Excel Spreadsheet, I can calculate a number of things, such as, the number of New Cases and New Deaths per day.  I consider the CDC the source of record for the United States.

I use the worldometers.info/coronavirus/ website for International Data.  One thing they publish that the CDC doesn’t, is the Case Fatality Rate.  Ergo, I’ve been using the data on this website as my source for the Case Fatality Rate.  Actually, what worldometers.info/coronavirus/ publishes that enables them to determine the CFR is the Number of Closed Cases.  They simply divide the Number of Deaths by the Number of Closed Cases, and they arrive at the Case Fatality Rate.

I want to generate a Case Fatality Rate from the CDC numbers.

The issue I’m having with the data from worldometers.info/coronavirus/, however, is that their data for the United States is significantly higher than the CDC.

For example, right now:

The CDC says there has been 554,849 Total Cases and 21,942 Total Deaths in the United States.

worldometers.info/coronavirus/ says there has been 586,941 Total Cases and 23,640 Total Deaths in the United States.

I can live with that, but what really bugs me is the Total Recovered Number at 36,948.  This means that there would only be 60,588 total closed cases in the United States.  At 60,588 Total Closed Cases, it means that the worldometers’ website considers the average American Coronavirus Case to last about 18 days.  If I use the CDC data and generate Closed Cases from 18 days prior, I get seven Case Fatality Rates of over a 100% and three over 200% in only 28 calculations.  It is impossible for more people to die from the virus than have the virus.  I know that an 18 day average case time is not correct.

After a while, it doesn’t matter how many Total Cases there have been, it only matters how many cases are open.  For example, 554,849 Americans DO NOT have the Coronavirus right now, a large portion of them have already Recovered; the question is, “how many?”

On April 7^th, 2020, Newsweek.com published this article:

“Over 20,000 novel coronavirus patients in the U.S., the global epicenter of the outbreak, have recovered from infection as of Monday, according to the latest figures from Johns Hopkins University.

The virus, which was first detected in Wuhan, China, has infected over 1.3 million people across at least 184 countries and regions to date. While more than 76,500 have died, over 292,400 have recovered.

The U.S. has seen more than double the number of recoveries than South Korea, which reported at least 6,694. South Korea formerly had the highest number of cases outside China.

America has more than 369,000 confirmed cases and counting, with New York reporting the highest number of infections of any state at 130,689 as of Monday, according to the latest figures from New York Governor Andrew Cuomo.

The U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) is yet to release the official number of recoveries in the country from COVID-19, the disease caused by the new strain of coronavirus.”

Source: www.newsweek.com/coronavirus-recoveries-us-cases-deaths-cdc-1496485

Does the CDC really know?  If they know, why don’t they say?  Worldometers has no issue with stating the Number of Closed Cases, why does the CDC? I don’t believe it, but they’re still brave enough to publish it.

If the CDC published the Number of Closed Cases, I could immediately calculate the Case Fatality Rate.

One of two things are going to happen when the CDC finally publishes the Total Number of Closed Cases – we’re going to find out if the CFR% is higher or lower than we’ve been led to believe, and in either scenario, it’s not going to be good for the CDC.

The people who are economically destroying the Lives of millions of Americans MUST JUSTIFY their actions with a dramatically inflated Death Rate, otherwise, the irreparable damage they are inflicting upon our society because of the Fear and Terror they’ve generated would be woefully disproportionate to the actual Threat.

I have decided to generate my own CFR using the numbers from the CDC.  To do so, I will assume an average 14 day case time.  From what I’ve read, it seems like a sensible number.  Some cases last longer, and some cases are shorter, but the average seems to be about 14 days.  This number also generates the fewest absurd anomalies (e.g. CFR’s in 100% to 200% range).

There is an Average Case Length.  Right now, nobody can say what it is for certain, but it does exist.  With my spreadsheet, I could instantly generate a CFR from any Average Case Length I want.

To establish the Number of Closed Cases I retrieve the Number of Total Cases published by the CDC from 14 days ago.  I assume that the Total Number of Cases from 14 days ago have more or less resolved.  I now call this the Number of Closed Cases.

To calculate the CFR, I now divide the Total Number of Deaths by the Number of Closed Cases.  To calculate the Number of Active Cases I subtract the Number of Closed Cases from the Total Number of Cases.

This gives me:

• Total Cases = 554,849
• Estimated Closed Cases = 140,904
• Estimated Active Cases = 413,945
• Total Deaths = 21,942
• Estimated Case Fatality Rate = 0.1557230 or 15.6%

At a 15.6% CFR, if all 329,425,000 Americans contracted the Coronavirus, 51,299,049 would die.

However, if only 1,000,000 Americans contracted the Coronavirus, only 155,723 would die.

But here’s something else I’m seeing in the numbers – the CFR has been dropping for six straight days.  Yesterday, the CFR was nearly 17%.   This makes a whole lot of sense to me.   This is what I was not seeing in the worldometers numbers, they were holding at a steady CFR of more than 30%.

Last Saturday the CFR = 18%

Last Friday the CFR = 19%

Last Thursday the CFR = 21%

Last Wednesday the CFR = 23%

Last Tuesday the CFR = 27%

How low will it go?

Now, a Test of my Theory…

IF I’m right about the 14 day Average Case time and the 15% CFR holds, THEN in 14 Days (04/27/2020), the Total Number of Deaths should equal about 86,403.

I hope I’m wrong. I hope it’s lower, much lower.

A Theoretical Exercise in Myopic Hysteria

I know for a fact, because of the data that exists, that the Coronavirus is the most intricately tracked disease in Human History.  Never before has any disease been given such (supposedly) pinpoint accurate daily updates, even hourly updates, as COVID19.

I know, for example, that the CDC has not been tracking the other strains of Flu as closely as they’ve been tracking the Coronavirus, otherwise, the tally they provide for the number of cases wouldn’t be a range between 38 and 54 million.

This makes me wonder… what would one of these other Flus look like statistically if we tracked it with as much fervor and attention as we do the Coronavirus?  The fact is, we have never even attempted to track a “lesser” flu with this much enthusiasm.

How do we know, therefore, that the Coronavirus is “special” with regard to its transmissibility and fatality rates?

I’m not saying that we’re wrong, I really have no idea.  I’m just asking a question as a data analyst.

What would it look like if we had tracked the other strains of flu the same way that we’ve been tracking the Coronavirus?

The following is a comparison between the theoretical daily statistics of the 2017-2018 Flu Season against the daily statistics of the Coronavirus.

To calculate the day by day statistics of the 2017-2018 Flu Season, I formulated a symmetrical bell curve based on the CDC’s final data representing the number of New Cases and New Deaths per Day for the period beginning Oct 1, 2017, and ending April 30, 2018 – a total of 211 days.  Actually, I added a couple of more days and made an assumption that a typical flu season lasts about 213 days.  I plotted 107 points, each one representing a single day of tracking (and the front half of the graph), exactly comparable to what the CDC reports on its website concerning the Coronavirus.  The Green MASS of the graph is absolutely correct, but the shape of the curve may vary.

On my graph, Day 107 is the crest of the bell curve.  On Day 107, there were more new cases and more new deaths than any other day; 721,895 new cases and 985 new deaths.  Before Day 107 the number of new cases and new deaths always increased, after Day 107 the numbers of new cases and new deaths always decreased.  Since 44,803,629 people caught the Flu and 61,099 died in 2017-2018, the half way point would be about 22,401,814 total cases and 30,556 total deaths, exactly what my bell curve indicates.

Now, some of you are old enough to remember the Iran Hostage Crisis of the late 70s.  Each night, ABC News (Nightline) would devote an hour of broadcast time to provide updates of the dramatic standoff.  Their programming would usually start out by saying something provocative, such as, “America Held Hostage – Day 142”.

This is how I am going to report the numbers to you.

I have figured out what the statistics would be for each day of the Flu in 2017-2018.

The CDC has been tracking what the statistics are for each day of the Coronavirus since it began on January 12, 2020.

On day 90 of the Coronavirus Crisis, there have been 33,288 new cases and 1,927 new deaths, bringing the total to 423,537 overall cases and 19,332 overall deaths.

On day 90 of the 2017-2018 Flu season, there were 508,493 new cases and 792 new deaths, bringing the total to 10,925,917 overall cases and 14,903 overall deaths.

It is a fact that more deaths are being attributed to the Coronavirus than the Seasonal Flu, but the total number of cases is totally dwarfed by comparison.

Now, here are the Ten Leading Causes of Death in 2017.  I suppose these numbers reflect a period of time between January 1^st and December 31^st, 2017, so they do not directly align with the 2017-2018 Flu season.  The 55,672 deaths attributed to the Flu would theoretically contain data from the last half of the 2016-2017 Flu Season, and the first half of the 2017-2018 Flu season.

Source: www.cdc.gov/nchs/fastats/leading-causes-of-death.htm

These numbers are important because they give me a legitimate reason to suspect that the criteria we used to attribute a death to the Flu in 2017-2018 was different than the criteria we use to attribute a death to COVID19 today.  I suspect that if we had used the same criteria in 2017-2018 that we use for COVID19 now, the death count would’ve been much higher for the Flu in 2017-2018.  Likewise, I also suspect that if we used criteria from 2017-2018 and applied it to COVID19, the death count would be lower.

In other words, the criteria we’re using to attribute deaths to COVID19 are inflating the numbers compared to other years of the Flu.

Of the 1,927 deaths, we attribute to COVID19 today, perhaps only about 800 of them would have been attributed to the Flu in 2017-2018.  For instance, if a patient in 2017 died of heart failure after they got the flu, the cause of death would have been listed as Heart Failure, not the Flu.  But, now, if a patient dies of heart failure, and they were simultaneously testing positive for COVID19, the cause of death would be listed as COVID19, not heart failure.

Recently, Dr. Deborah L. Birx of the US Coronavirus Task Force admitted just that….

“There are other countries that if you had a preexisting condition — and let’s say the virus caused you to go to the ICU and then have a heart or kidney problem — some countries are recording that as a heart issue or a kidney issue and not a Covid-19 death. Right now, we’re still recording at… I mean, the great thing about having forms that come in and a form that has the ability to mark it as Covid-19 infection… The intent is right now that those — if someone dies with Covid-19, we are counting that as a Covid-19 death.” Dr. DL Birx – Coronavirus Task Force briefing (04/07/2020)

Therefore, here is my theoretical exercise in Myopic Hysteria

Dateline, December 30^th, 2017.

America Held Hostage – the Seasonal Flu – Day 90!

“Good evening ladies and gentlemen. We have very somber news to report.  Today, another 792 people have died from the Seasonal Flu, bringing the total number of dead to 14,903.  The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention released a statement today, saying, another 508,493 new cases have been confirmed, bringing the total number of cases for the year to 10,925,917.  When will it end?”

Of course, this didn’t happen, but it could’ve.

Here are the Graphs…

Graph #1 shows the number of New Cases per Day for the 2017-2018 Seasonal Flu and the 2020 Coronavirus COVID-19.

As you can see, a magnifying glass is required to view the part of the graph generated by the Coronavirus numbers when compared to the numbers generated by the 2017-2018 Seasonal Flu.

10,925,917 total cases on day 90 for the 2017-2018 Flu vs 423,537 total cases on day 90 for the Coronavirus.

508,493 new cases on day 90 for the 2017-2018 Flu vs 33,288 new cases on day 90 for the Coronavirus.  There were more new cases in one day of the Seasonal Flu in 2017-2018 than the entire total number of cases for the Coronavirus over 90 days.  508,493>423,537.

Graph #2 shows the number of New Deaths per Day for the 2017-2018 Seasonal Flu and the 2020 Coronavirus COVID-19.

As you can see, the Number of Deaths attributed to the Coronavirus are significant when compared to the Number of Cases of the Coronavirus – the Coronavirus is statistically more deadly than the Seasonal Flu.

Are more people dying of the Coronavirus than were dying of the Seasonal Flu in 2017-2018?  This graph does not prove that.  The curve of each graph is markedly different.  The Coronavirus curve is very steep and based on actual numbers, while the 2017-2018 curve is gradual and based on theoretical numbers.

The Theoretical numbers I have used for my graph work very well for a comparison of the Total Number of Cases, but they do not work as well for the Number of Deaths.

In 2017-2018, a total of 61,099 people are said to have died from the Seasonal Flu.  So far, a total of 19,332 deaths have been attributed to the Coronavirus.

The Unusual Distribution of COVID-19

I have been carefully monitoring the worldwide Coronavirus statistics and a distinct pattern has begun to emerge.

There is mounting Numerical Evidence in Western Europe and the United States that the spread of the Coronavirus is being Deliberately and Maliciously Assisted.

The European Union, the United States, and the British Commonwealth, are suffering a disproportionate share of the outbreak.  The Total number of Cases and Case Fatality Rates are cumulatively higher in the “Caucasian World” than they are anywhere else.  The numbers don’t lie.

Source: www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ (04/09/2020)

*The Case Fatality Rate (CFR) is calculated by dividing the number of Deaths by the number of Closed Cases.  Closed Cases are those where the patient has either Recovered or Died.

Bellwether Countries such as India, Indonesia, and Nigeria, are not (yet) suffering any significant spread, even though they are among the most populous on Earth, and even though the virus has been confirmed to be lurking within their borders for basically the same amount of time.

Source: www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ (04/09/2020)

Nigeria, for example, is particularly interesting.  Nigeria is the most populated country in Africa, around 206 million, and we know that the living conditions there are not exactly exemplary.  If there ever was a country that was ripe for a plague it would be Nigeria, but the virus has been there for 41 days and there are still only 276 known cases.

Compare that with the United Kingdom.  The virus has been in the United Kingdom for 41 days, but there are 60,733 known cases, 7,097 dead, and a CFR of 98%.

Does this mean that a “third world” country like Nigeria is better at controlling a Pandemic than a “first world power” like the United Kingdom?

Interesting.  Very interesting.